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- TheFxAnalyst replied Feb 5, 2019
I've been short since yesterday, not going to break my heart if it falls into a little bit of hole here. Now if I can just get it to drag the NZDJPY with it. Models are still in gear for some additional sell-off, but I'll have to keep my eye on it, ...
- TheFxAnalyst replied Jan 30, 2019
Dollar Review Some of your best trades are the ones you don't take. Last night I had three USD pairs signaling short (AUD, EUR, and NZD). The signal in each of them was really week and the potential for being on the wrong side higher. We were also ...
- TheFxAnalyst replied Jan 23, 2019
Currently Short NZDJPY and USDCAD Signal strength is low in both which typically indicates it's going to be a long grind. Going in relatively light so there is room to add in case the timing is completely off. There are also a few other things in ...
- TheFxAnalyst replied Jan 23, 2019
Closed USDCHF I've closed the USDCHF, there is some bearish momentum in favor of leaving it open, but I'm also looking at a 4-hour forecast (not terribly reliable) with potential for stalling or a slight reversal, so I'm just gonna call it good for ...
- TheFxAnalyst replied Jan 23, 2019
NZDJPY testing the upper oscillator band. It has room to run to the upper trend line if momentum persists. I'd be just as happy to see it push up there before shorting it (may not have the luxury) but I'd feel better as the technical signal strength ...
- TheFxAnalyst replied Jan 23, 2019
USDCAD Neutral NZDJPY getting bullish into a short call The USDCAD has fallen off the scan and I'm not surprised, signal strength was really low and there was bearish momentum already in place. The NZDJPY is still signaling short but there is some ...
- TheFxAnalyst replied Jan 23, 2019
Shorted USDCHF @ 0.9969 Last night I shorted the USDCHF around 0.9969, the trade was relatively flat through the early trading and is starting to move against me a little bit here in the early US session. I went in about half the recommended lots as ...
- TheFxAnalyst replied Jan 8, 2019
Yesterday morning I jumped into the AUDCHF, CADCHF, EURAUD, EURGBP and the GBPUSD. Things were pretty quiet all day, not a lot of movement in the account. image This morning on the rebalance I added NZDJPY and USDCAD out of a handful of new ...
- TheFxAnalyst replied Jan 6, 2019
For me, there isn't a lot cooking with the EURUSD. Just a smidgen of bearish bias in the technical and ML models (but barely).
- TheFxAnalyst replied Jan 6, 2019
A couple of things showing up as trades, neither of which I'm taking right now. The USDCAD is so blown out I want to wait and let my chart technicals catch up. It's also screwing up my position sizing as the current forecast is for a move up but the ...
- TheFxAnalyst replied Jan 6, 2019
A quick look at the current price action. Some of this is residual from Friday. Technical and ML models are mostly out of sync, I'll be checking things again before the US sessions kicks off.
- TheFxAnalyst replied Dec 19, 2018
The AUDCAD has run about as far as I can model. That doesn't mean there isn't more left, but it's extending beyond my time-frames. If I were in it I'd be squaring up. Hurts a little that I wasn't, would have been a fun ride.
- TheFxAnalyst replied Dec 19, 2018
The decision matrix (aka Currency Scan) is finally finished. Lot of updates and improvements already planned, but it's where it needs to be to trade. Looking forward to 2019! Except for some small trades here and there for stress testing the system, ...
- TheFxAnalyst replied Dec 19, 2018
I wish I had gotten this posted a little earlier. That move hit hard and fast. Most of the signal strength has gone, but there is still room to run lower if momentum persists. 0.9629 is my first target on this.
- TheFxAnalyst replied Dec 18, 2018
As a rule, the only time my machine learning forecasts show up is if a trade is signaled. Realized today there are times where I want to take a peek at those, especially if I'm writing about something specific (like the GBPJPY today). So I'm adding ...
- TheFxAnalyst replied Dec 18, 2018
Quick update, fixed the composite forecast, signaling sensitivity was incorrect. All good now.
- TheFxAnalyst replied Dec 18, 2018
Drilling just a little deeper into the pound, ML forecast is for a move lower from current levels. With a mixed forecast there I'm pretty much on the sidelines. The upside is, if it does push lower it will continue to look more asymmetrical from a ...
- TheFxAnalyst replied Dec 18, 2018
Not a lot going on this morning on my end. We see a signal starting to develop in the GBPJPY, still early on that though. A little bit of price action as well in the AUDNZD, CADJPY, NZDUSD and USDJPY. We'll see how this plays out through the day, ...
- TheFxAnalyst replied Dec 12, 2018
Man, this update has been a long time coming. First things first, a few weeks ago I submitted my final models to the Numerai Hedge Fund. All those models have resolved and I leave their data science competition in the top 20, out of several hundred ...
- TheFxAnalyst replied Sep 23, 2018
Fast forward a bunch of months: I tried to push the CS off into the institutional side of things, but I just can't muster the manpower to make a proper go of it. There is so much demand for talent it's difficult to come up with a package that will ...