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- drzakir123 replied Sep 16, 2014
Jacque,thank you indeed.so say in july 2014 the exchange rate of usd/try was 1.2192, turkey inflation was 9.45 and us inflation 1.99 and difference of 7.45,putting that in formula the exchange rate of usd/try should reach 2.2770.
- drzakir123 replied Sep 16, 2014
HI all,a question. what is the relationship between exchange rate and inflation?say if exchange rate change by 1%,how much its going to or suppose to change the inflation rate? or vice versa
- drzakir123 replied Sep 9, 2014
market basic movement is up and down[fluctuate/vibrate/to&fro] with multiple time frames [as many as people],so the path prices travel is going be multidimentional whereby 99.99% of time one feel,one is wrong.how one going to exploit it is the ...
- drzakir123 replied Sep 8, 2014
but big boys have the problem of size and they dont use much leverage.despite having so many difficulties if they have 7%,its great,i think it will take another 10yr for me to reach those skills.i am still learning,and my result could be one of ...
- drzakir123 replied Sep 8, 2014
the price action of gbp give me a feeling that it is just a balancing act in anticipation of vote not going to be positive.my feeling is price going to snap back, there by keeping the exchange rate stable.again i may be wrong,these r just my ...
- drzakir123 replied Sep 8, 2014
i am very well fti,thank you,yes it is working.i have nicely incorporated your idea of rescuing into my trading.also i have learnt to keep carry winds on my back.given another couple of years of learning things will become smoother.by the way since ...
- drzakir123 replied Sep 8, 2014
[/quote]my scouts are in the field,quite deep now.i have mobilised quite bit of my army to support them as and when needed.this is the first time my scouts are on 4 different battlefields namely NZD,EURO,GBP,TRY.long journey ahead.i am maintaining ...
- drzakir123 replied Jul 1, 2014
i agree with u,swap is unaffordable and if one manage to short this pair from appropriate level return can be extremely good.but the problem is its not so easy to short this pair as its in long term uptrend. to be honest i hate taking any loss,i ...
- drzakir123 replied Jun 28, 2014
i believe the whole secret to trading lies in the comment on the chart.
- drzakir123 replied Jun 26, 2014
its uncomfortable playing against the swap,may be its better to take short position from a higher level with swap in ones favour.just t be clear i have taken very small long positions at 2.1293 lets see what happen .
- drzakir123 replied Jun 24, 2014
thanks for the input,is that mean we are coming out of the risk averse environment and expect to see rally in lira? despite the carry differential lira seems to be going down for last 2 to 3 yrs and the recent rally since january seems to be more of ...
- drzakir123 replied Jun 17, 2014
well my impression of newzealand banker are they r giving two contradictory signal one by thier action which is they want lower inflation therby increasing interest rate asking others to buy the currency and the other is by word of mouth ...
- drzakir123 replied Jun 17, 2014
one should always look through the prism of central banker and not oneself.central bankers saying exchange rate not sustainable due to dairy prices falling and not the other way round.apart from this there are 2 more scenarios where nzd will fall ...
- drzakir123 replied Jun 11, 2014
in view of dairy/commodity prices down nzd exchange rate unsustanable.the current rally we r seeing is possibly exhaustion rally.
- drzakir123 replied Jun 11, 2014
dont u think they r sending confusing signals and trying to speak from both end of the mouth.they want inflation to be subdued with high exchange rate and also saying its unsustanable?.on that i am out of the market till picture is clear
- drzakir123 replied Jun 11, 2014
and buy what? and also its very expensive as carry is against u?
- drzakir123 replied Jun 11, 2014
i agree with u,and governor in his statement says currenct ex rate nonsustainable as commodities prices are not factor in yet
- drzakir123 replied Jun 11, 2014
can someone shed light on the statement that exchange rate non sustainable?
- drzakir123 replied Jun 11, 2014
what is the logic of shorting this pair?.i dont see fundamental change in anyway,if i see anything the prices going down it is becos of the traders liquidating thier position and the kind of rallies one tend to see on the short side are not very ...
- drzakir123 replied Jun 11, 2014
no,i am not but i can say this much with surety that, till now i had blown 3 accounts.good luck and good day to u sir.thank u