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- JackintheBox replied 34 hr ago
I cannot see your attachment but I know probably already the result: in the other 20% your avg. loss will be -140 pips, correct? That would fit R:R of 1:1. So: 80% of the time = 35 pips 20% if not hit: = -140 pips equals R:R of 1:1. Quote Yoriz: ...
- JackintheBox replied 36 hr ago
Omg, the results are even negativ if I interprete it correctly. Is it really true that we have a hammer and stochastic "oversold" sk<20: 50% 0.0107 to 50% -0.0137 ?? also invertet hammer with context sk<20: 50% 0.0132 to 50% -0.0148 These figures ...
- JackintheBox replied May 31, 2024
I really appreciate your input. The problem with stats like that is the out of date datas tested and of course the gap candles/patterns which you don't really have on Forex - but of course you can eliminate that patters with gaps from end of candle ...
- JackintheBox replied May 31, 2024
Yes and No. I will explain in a moment because: Yes and No also. Here is what I found out over years of research: IF there is an edge on sth. (e.g. here: Hammer) THAN it is showing in 95% of the cases. - NO MATTER if it is in context, if you use it ...
- JackintheBox replied May 30, 2024
What? Can you explain why you use maximum Profit / minimum drawdown and in which manner? Over 200 hammers? Thank you! I love to read it. Straight to the point. However, can you also please explain the 0% to 100%? what does ...
- JackintheBox replied May 14, 2024
I find that weird, too. Gap close after, news, ok, but that heavy? And now it is not going down?? So no gap close? who has so much money to go against the USD? BOJ, yes, but they concentrate on JPY, - that move on EU and GBP was someone/something ...
- JackintheBox replied May 14, 2024
- PPI through the roof. Closed 1/2 other short at 1.2528 from 1.2855 and I had -4 pips before so 23 pips + side. Why market is up know I don't know. I saw that quite often last news. First correct direction (GBP/USD down today) and than ...
- JackintheBox replied May 14, 2024
I wasn't able to close any. So I do now. -4 pips, half is out. 50% I keep. Could rush down after news. I split the risk.
- JackintheBox replied May 14, 2024
First short now on GBP/USD... 1.2555... cheers. Seems exhausted. Dont expect big vola now. I only annoy the big guys with my short and grab some money from them.
- JackintheBox replied May 14, 2024
V-Shape GBP/USD. Quite seldom occurance. Fits perfectly into currently VOLA / PA. Not tradable at all (for me). I think long could still work out from here due to open shorts from the morning to cover. Some biggies will use that to push market ...
- JackintheBox replied May 14, 2024
V-Shape...mostly only seen on holiday move due to less market participants. Very dangerous to short due to lack of longs of the guys who shorted before (mostly uncovered shorts still in play). Just sit on your fingers before short - that is telling ...
- JackintheBox replied May 14, 2024
LOL. Anyway, Thanks Mr. Pill. I support your trading (style).
- JackintheBox replied May 14, 2024
My stats say: Sell, sell, sell. -But I don't want to rely on that BOJ guys. So sad but everyone except BOJ stands against that JPY small boy who is (still) protected by her mother BOJ but the bulliyng kids are getting more and more... ok, and some ...
- JackintheBox replied May 14, 2024
Ah da*nit... Sell everything for 11 pips now at 1.2525 from 1.2514. My god what a mess. Where are the guys with the balls who move the market??? From my 11 pips today I can buy a bread and a beer ! image
- JackintheBox replied May 14, 2024
Finally some moving. In the former most volatile pair on forex . I would have sold my scalp (1.2514 avg.) already at 1.2519 but I kept it because I thought market will not move down again anyway BECAUSE OF THAT CRAP VOLA!!! SL for my rest ...
- JackintheBox replied May 10, 2024
I hope you are wrong... sure, Gold Vola would go up but there will be much less trade oppurtunities on lots of currency pairs which will not compensate the loss of volatility.
- JackintheBox replied May 10, 2024
May be sound familar to you: I enter 1st small position of retrace at USD/JPY, sometimes a bit more down, I add some. Than it goes up, I sell some. Rest I put on B/E. MArket moves even more up and next day: Hit me B/E. REPEAT. Carry trade is really ...
- JackintheBox replied May 10, 2024
Numbers showing signs of stagflation: image Consumer pessimism and Inflation expectation is rising -again far over 3% - at least at that number. May be that's the reason why USD vola after news was so low. Means no rate cut in US but recession ...
- JackintheBox replied May 10, 2024
Question: What the heck is going on with the volatility? over last weeks: EUR/AUD - 30% EUR/CAD - 30% GBP/USD -10% EUR/GBP - non existent vola!! Only exotics currently are ok to trade. I think we never had such a low volatility in overall forex ...
- JackintheBox replied May 9, 2024
Biggest news event: GBPUSD: 34 pips... - I have questions...