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- MarvOli replied May 7, 2024
Most importantly, its RETAIL that is short. From the data that I have its only 65%. But thats still fairly one-sided. So I doubt it will last. Im getting out of my short at 1.07721. Then I wait and see how the market reacts.
- MarvOli replied Oct 9, 2023
Still holding this position? I just opened a position. TP in the ~1.37
- MarvOli replied Dec 2, 2022
This would explain why the market isn't moving lower faster. A lot of interest to keep prices over these points. Should move lower as these options run off
- MarvOli replied Nov 30, 2022
I have been saying this same thing for over a year now. Almost all of the US debt is issued in non-inflation-protected bonds. So as inflation goes up, the US can pay back debt at a discount. So the inflation isn't bad for them. They don't really ...
- MarvOli replied Nov 30, 2022
The feds will increase rates in the coming months. But, 50BP is already priced in for DEC, and if we get 75BP we will see higher DXY. Otherwise, the high is already in on DXY. If we get 50BP, we will start to see DXY move down. We are already seeing ...
- MarvOli replied Nov 30, 2022
The Feds have increased rates at a pace never before seen in US history. Some time needs to pass to see how these rate increases have affected the economy. So I do see 50BP in December, and maybe one more 25BP before they hold. I doubt they cut ...
- MarvOli replied Nov 30, 2022
I disagree. First of all, a high USD makes the entire world suffer, including the USA. USA exports cost more, and GDP falls. FED Powell does not want to see the S&P higher, but they also are handcuffed by higher rates. The higher the rates, the ...
- MarvOli replied Oct 14, 2022
Fed Daly talking now. Says according to CPI, what the Feds are doing isn't working. I wouldn't be trying to catch the EURUSD falling knife. The target is .96 minimum.
- MarvOli replied Oct 14, 2022
So far, looks like the Option was sold, and profit is taken. Market Manipulators... FML... Short entered at .9793. SL moved to BE. Looking to get back in the .96 arena.
- MarvOli replied Oct 14, 2022
One large option expiring today @ .9790 in next 2 hours. I wouldn't be surprised to see price touch this and reverse immediately. OR, it could serve as a ceiling.
- MarvOli replied Sep 22, 2022
I posted this chart back in July. It played out perfectly. Now it's time to reverse. I see a minimum 3 waves up in either an ABC correction OR 1-2-3 in the next 5 waves. I think we see at least ~1.2. Time will tell. Cheers!
- MarvOli replied Sep 15, 2022
HAHAHAHA! I love the chart, VERY technical looking. I do agree, I have my TP set at 1.004. Cheers
- MarvOli replied Sep 8, 2022
Someone had a large option expire this morning. You can see the price drop below that 1.000 level right before the interest rate decision. I think this means they thought that price will probably move higher, so they bought enough USD to push the ...
- MarvOli replied Aug 25, 2022
As long as we stay BELOW 1.00512, according to EWT rules, we can still hit below 0.98. Im looking to take some profit soon and prepare to BUY more on the dip Cheers!
- MarvOli replied Aug 23, 2022
.9864 Will be the next big fib extension level for big reversal as well. I have closed some of my LONG positions here, getting ready to buy more dips
- MarvOli replied Aug 22, 2022
There will be a lot of defense at parity. Even the ECB will be defending this level.
- MarvOli replied Aug 22, 2022
The next big fib extension to the downside will be .98212 and then .97227. It will take something in the news to break below these levels for certain. Otherwise, we should start to move higher. Selling at these levels is becoming very risky, ...
- MarvOli replied Aug 19, 2022
It would take me hours to explain them all. But I can give a few: 1. US government debt- Issued at ~2%. They didn't expect the bond market to sell off so much. Maybe they expected 2.5% or 2.75%? So they factor that in when issuing debt. Now, new ...
- MarvOli replied Aug 19, 2022
Big-time Fib extension levels coming into play now. 1.0041 and 1.0022 are very important levels.
- MarvOli replied Aug 19, 2022
Actually, there are not a lot of big money options in the Forex market that are expiring today. That all happened yesterday. Today a lot of options expire in the US Stock Market. And that will have some effect on the forex market.