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- harvest3r replied Jan 28, 2019
Absolutely - why?
- harvest3r replied Jan 7, 2019
Long gold/silver and short USDJPY can be good strategies. Usually they have seasonal trends at the first months of the year. Regretfully I was too coward to trust my own strategy and missed the best entry points...
- harvest3r replied Dec 20, 2018
I try to exploit breakouts of hourly inside bars and just messed it up... missed a clear entry on Dec 17th @1238 which was not touched by yesterday's FOMC news. It might have been THE entry for 2019! Today there was another inside bar @1257 which ...
- harvest3r replied Dec 14, 2018
Exactly. I was counting on a bottom in December but then we got an uptrend already in November... annoying! The price fell below 1240 today, so now it could be the moment to try opening longs, waiting for 2019.
- harvest3r replied Dec 14, 2018
It is effective as long as you find a long term trend. Without a trend, you will be "cooked" very slowly. It took me a while to understand that DIBS is more than simply exploring IB breakouts. DIBS uses IB breakouts in order to build positions, but ...
- harvest3r replied Nov 28, 2018
Politics apart, I regret I didn't short EURTRY when it came down to 7.0500. Just did it now at 5.9400. The trend is going down and it's time to risk small positions in order to earn swap fees, at least. If the positions survive in the long term, ...
- harvest3r replied Nov 28, 2018
Quite interesting strategy and point of view. The "infinite yield" approach of this strategy is basically identical to the DIBS method, which I had tested since February 2018. As it happens to DIBS, you can have a huge sequence of losses and get no ...
- harvest3r replied Nov 21, 2018
XAU: usually bottoms in December. Last year the uptrend started "too early" (around Dec 12th) and I missed the best entry point. JPY: usually has a top in March, so sooner or later we might see some downtrend in EJ, GJ, UJ, etc. I could have made a ...
- harvest3r replied Nov 20, 2018
What did just happen on USDCHF? This spike does not appear in any other broker, like Oanda or FXCM! My order was closed due to that, so I expect that it should be recovered. Server: XMGlobal-Real3
- harvest3r replied Jun 12, 2018
The "trading session" or the "active trading time" can be a very important aspect for DIBS - more important than I thought at first. Here follow some quotes: It makes sense. Even though it can be too early to call a trend or even the 'hot hand', on ...
- harvest3r replied Jun 12, 2018
Some people (e.g. Zero Hedge) are calling the current week "The Week from Hell". Many market moving events to happen in the next days. Hopefully we will have a kick-off for some trends (not only a kick-off for the FIFA World Cup). It itches when I ...
- harvest3r replied May 23, 2018
Not really. Just call it "Hermeneutics" I really would like to know your take on that issues, especially about the hot hand. Up to page 50 I don't find anybody discussing that - most guys seemed to be trading mechanically, as I did until 2 ...
- harvest3r replied May 23, 2018
Jason brought an interesting post by PC. Coincidently it brings the 20dma issue, which was there all the time but I didn't notice before. It is mentioned on page 30. I decided to break down his post in order to get some of the DIBS "spirit". If you ...
- harvest3r replied May 23, 2018
Hi guys, I've been researching the "hot hand" issue. It will take a lot of time. In order to have that info in a quick glance, I developed a small panel (see image below) which tells me the % variation for each currency since daily open (6:00 GMT) ...
- harvest3r replied May 18, 2018
After all the feedbacks, I think the 1st backtesting phase is over. Conclusion: the IB breakout concept has a long-term edge by itself, if traded mechanically, but the drawdowns can be unbearable. So now it's time to add the first filter: the "hot ...
- harvest3r replied May 15, 2018
Hey guys, the thread is 10 years old today! Happy anniversary!
- harvest3r replied May 15, 2018
Respect acknowledged. Sure you are right :-) but I'm still not that convinced about the "hot hand" interpretations. The chart I posted is a Daily one. There are similar charts which were very profitable. So that's why I wanted to bring it to ...
- harvest3r replied May 15, 2018
Thanks for the reply, m3rlin. As obvious as it seems, I still cannot be so sure of that. No, I don't think there is any "magic" on DIBS - there is only a feeling that the market has an intrinsic property: breakouts of any IB will tend to reach BE ...
- harvest3r replied May 11, 2018
Hi guys, no good news LOL no single winner trade in the last two weeks But the worst is this: I managed to make some backtest on data from the last 9-10 years and the results so far are no good. Here is a table with the number of pips won/lost for ...
- harvest3r replied May 10, 2018
Sounds interesting. What do you mean by "the price has left it (the 20 dma)"? Does it mean that the previous daily bar didn't touch it anymore? The only trouble I have with this approach is that, by the time you try to enter the trade, no IBs will ...