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- MoshiM replied Oct 1, 2020
image Currencies are traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. image Below the tables there are links to comma delimited versions of the data. I would also encourage you to use the Excel files I created. They will update on their own unless you ...
- MoshiM replied Jan 14, 2020
I can't respond in your journal thread so I'll respond here instead. I don't think your graphs show what you think they do. How did you calculate the values? "If we look at the first half of the chart (until the spike near 2000), money managers were ...
- MoshiM replied Dec 29, 2019
You should re-read the CFTC's explanatory notes: "Comparison of the TFF Report to the Legacy COT Report and to the Disaggregated COT Report" They explicitly state that the TFF report isn't a disaggregation of the Legacy Report, so you should stick ...
- MoshiM replied Dec 8, 2019
CHFUSD-Traders in Financial Futures Been a while since I last posted one of these so I figured its time I got back into it. Since August 2018 Asset Managers in the CHF contract have acted as the primary Reportable counter party to Dealer ...
- MoshiM replied Sep 17, 2019
The next couple of months. In the latest report we had a large drop in positions by both Commercials and Non-Commercials. now coupling that with a possible net positive outcome for the USD as a result of Tomorrows's FED decisions and reports, I'm ...
- MoshiM replied Sep 16, 2019
To be fair, it's more like there have been intermittent periods of bullish/bearishness in Sugar positions since 2017 that correspond quite nicely with price fluctuations while still maintaining the current downtrend. Given Sugar's responsiveness ...
- MoshiM replied Aug 11, 2019
Updates on Gold: In lieu of the US ramping up tariffs on Chinese goods, Net Commercial positions have an reached an all time low at -378K with Non-Commercials just net 1k short of an all time high as well. image image Large change in gross ...
- MoshiM replied Jul 25, 2019
By what method did you normalize the positions? Personally, I'm not a fan of joining futures contracts like this. Especially so for markets that already have their own contract like gold does. Reasons being that these contracts are already quoted in ...
- MoshiM replied Jul 25, 2019
This isn't meant to be an attack on you so I apologize if it comes off that way but, what is your "big picture" and how much time have you spent getting familiar with the data and incorporating it into your order placement? Next Question: What is ...
- MoshiM replied Jul 14, 2019
A few thoughts on the current state of the Gold Market Over the past few weeks there have been increasing signs that a top may form in the Gold Markets. Taking a look at Commercial participants reveals a historically large amount of both shorts and ...
- MoshiM replied May 27, 2019
It isn't that noticeable if you are only using Legacy Net positions but if delve into gross positions and the amount of Open Interest it becomes more peculiar. Legacy Report Gross positions: image I should also add that there is something similar ...
- MoshiM replied Apr 30, 2019
I've been seeing this for a while now on various websites so I was hoping to start a discussion on why people strictly adhere to analysis of net positions. Previously I posted about EUR Non-Commercial Short positions (note: not the net the position ...
- MoshiM replied Apr 13, 2019
FYI the Futures and Options combined version of the COT report shows something different. image
- MoshiM replied Apr 8, 2019
I completely overlooked the Euro so thank you for bringing it to my attention!! The large Options net long increase by commercials you've shown just so happens to come at a time where Non-Commercials are fairly close to reaching an all time high in ...
- MoshiM replied Apr 8, 2019
Crude is an odd one at the moment for me. The Commercials massive net selling surge was revealed within the MAR-19 report and they have been trending net bearish ever since. That said, nothing has come of it. Which is strange. Swap dealers just ...
- MoshiM replied Apr 8, 2019
Thank you Dunstan. I completely agree. I suppose I should mention that in my previous post I meant "re-entering the Long trend". I did have a few early buys on gold , but I've held onto them. That large change in positions for the APR-02 report that ...
- MoshiM replied Mar 25, 2019
I've been using this as an opportunity to re-enter the trend after the selling spike by Commercials 12-19 of Feb. The closer we get to where they initially sold from the more cautious I am about them stepping in again. Disaggregated report with Net ...
- MoshiM replied Mar 24, 2019
As of the March 19th release [Day before the FOMC release + after contract expiry for currencies so be mindful of that] On the Wednesday following this report the FOMC released their dot plot that significantly reduced market expectations for a rate ...
- MoshiM replied Mar 18, 2019
In the most recent release of the Traders in Financial Traders version of the COT report there was a large surge in spread contracts by dealers in the AUD bringing them up to 14k (2STD Above average). In the past, surges like this were usually ...
- MoshiM replied Mar 10, 2019
XAUUSD and why I'm not as bearish as in my previous post. Over the past few weeks we have seen increase in dovishness among a few Central Banks (BOC ,FED ,ECB, BOJ) which could potentially push more money into gold. Within the latest release of the ...